Guaraní vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BOT
1 - 2
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
CRZ
0 - 2
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
GUA
1 - 2
SCI
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1980 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ARN
1 - 2
CEA
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1981 |
ARN
2 - 0
CAM
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
CSA
3 - 2
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 1
ARN
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1981 |
ARN
1 - 1
SPO
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |