Guangzhou City vs Hebei FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
HAN
3 - 0
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
23%
25%
51%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TIT
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
SHE
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
BEI
9%
20%
72%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
MEI
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 4
DAL
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 6
HAN
11%
21%
69%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |