AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 6-1
Guangzhou FC vs Lekhwiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
DAL
81%
12%
8%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
HAN
81%
13%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 2
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
BEI
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lekhwiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
LEK
2 - 2
ALH
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 1
LEK
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAA
3 - 2
LEK
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
LEK
4 - 2
GHA
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAA
2 - 3
LEK
47%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |