Guangzhou FC vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 2
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
MUA
1 - 4
GUA
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 0
MUA
85%
11%
5%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BEI
1 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
JIA
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
WUZ
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 0
CHA
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
QIN
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HAN
1 - 1
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |