Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
8º
2º
20
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ADO
0 - 4
GRO
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 6
GRO
14%
17%
69%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ACY
0 - 0
GRO
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 1
FYN
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 3
FYN
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
ADO
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
PEC
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 2
GRA
36%
21%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |