Grödig vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 1
GRO
7%
19%
74%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 0
USC
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOH
0 - 2
GRO
9%
19%
72%
|
70 | 26 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRO
5 - 1
SCH
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
GRO
7%
18%
75%
|
70 | 31 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SVH
2 - 3
FCL
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
LAS
1 - 1
SVH
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SVH
2 - 1
WIN
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
STU
3 - 0
SVH
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 2
SVH
49%
23%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |