Greuther Fürth vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SGF
7 - 1
WOL
86%
11%
4%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
PIR
1 - 0
SGF
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
SGF
2 - 3
SAA
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
STU
2 - 0
SGF
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
SGF
2 - 3
FCN
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
SSV
4 - 2
BAY
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
M05
3 - 3
SSV
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
SSV
2 - 0
AUG
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
MUN
3 - 1
SSV
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
SSV
1 - 1
FSV
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |