Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
SGF
3 - 1
BVB
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SGF
0 - 6
MON
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
SGF
1 - 0
RWL
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
SGF
2 - 1
LIN
77%
13%
9%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
AUG
3 - 0
SGF
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
HAV
0 - 2
SAA
26%
30%
44%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1990 |
SAA
2 - 1
OSN
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1990 |
EBT
0 - 1
SAA
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1990 |
SAA
0 - 0
BWB
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
SAA
2 - 0
MEP
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |