Gretna vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
HIB
4 - 2
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
HOM
2 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
GRE
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
GLA
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2008 |
MHE
1 - 2
DUN
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
MHE
1 - 0
HOM
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
STM
3 - 1
MHE
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
HOM
2 - 2
MHE
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |