Gretna 2008 vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
11º
18º
17º
79
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
BFC
2 - 2
GRE
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 4
BON
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 4
DUF
62%
18%
20%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
THE
3 - 1
GRE
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CUM
2 - 3
GRE
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 2
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CBF
2 - 4
SPA
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 0
SPA
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 0
CUM
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
CWB
0 - 1
SPA
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |