Gresik United vs Persela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresik United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
DEL
2 - 1
GRE
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PWR
1 - 1
GRE
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PER
3 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 2
PPL
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RCF
0 - 2
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PER
0 - 0
PPL
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PER
3 - 1
PBO
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RCF
0 - 3
PER
33%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PER
3 - 0
PWR
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |