Gresford Athletic vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
9 - 0
GRE
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 3
GRE
21%
23%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
LLA
32%
25%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
BUC
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
CPD
1 - 3
GRE
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 3
FLI
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DEN
6 - 2
LLA
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
DEN
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
6 - 5
BUC
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CPC
2 - 4
DEN
7%
11%
82%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | +1 |