Grenoble vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grenoble
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
GRE
0 - 0
FRE
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2000 |
REI
2 - 2
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
GRE
2 - 2
BRC
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
ASB
2 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
GRE
4 - 0
GAZ
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
LHA
1 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 3
SED
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
3 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ASS
5 - 1
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |