Grêmio vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 2
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 3
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
SAO
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 0
COT
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 0
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
SAO
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |