Grêmio Osasco vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
COT
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
GRÊ
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 3
GRE
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 2
TUP
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
TUP
62%
23%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |