Grêmio Maringá vs Toledo Colonia Work (PR) analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IGU
3 - 1
GEM
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AEC
0 - 2
GEM
11%
15%
74%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GEM
1 - 2
PFC
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GEM
1 - 3
PST
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEM
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Toledo Colonia Work (PR)
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
PST
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
APU
1 - 0
TOL
64%
21%
16%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 4
CAB
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 3
LEC
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
IGU
2 - 1
TOL
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |