Grêmio Barueri vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
ATI
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VOT
0 - 0
GRÊ
65%
20%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
JUV
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRÊ
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
30%
25%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VOT
2 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLA
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |