Grêmio Barueri vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
PPE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRÊ
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
0 - 4
GRÊ
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
ITU
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
COR
0 - 0
RIO
81%
13%
5%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 4
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |