USL1 Temporada Regular round 14

Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers analysis

Greenville Triumph Richmond Kickers
59 ELO 48
-11.7% Tilt -0.1%
39644º General ELO ranking 3596º
470º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
62.8%
Greenville Triumph
21.9%
Draw
15.3%
Richmond Kickers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
Greenville Triumph
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.3%
Win probability
Richmond Kickers
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Greenville Triumph
Their league position
Richmond Kickers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
24
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Omaha
48
48
100%
Forward Madison
40
40
100%
Northern Colorado
39
39
100%
Greenville Triumph
37
37
100%
One Knoxville
35
35
100%
Charlotte Independence
34
34
100%
Spokane Velocity
27
27
100%
Richmond Kickers
24
24
100%
Lexington
21
21
100%
Tormenta
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
11º
18
18
11º
0%
Fuego FC
12º
18
18
12º
0%
Expected probabilities
Greenville Triumph
Richmond Kickers
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Greenville Triumph
Richmond Kickers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greenville Triumph
Greenville Triumph
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2024
GTR
Greenville Triumph
0 - 0
One Knoxville
OKS
50%
27%
23%
59 53 6 0
14 Jul. 2024
GTR
Greenville Triumph
0 - 1
Union Omaha
OMA
26%
26%
48%
59 67 8 0
23 Jun. 2024
OKS
One Knoxville
0 - 2
Greenville Triumph
GTR
34%
26%
40%
58 52 6 +1
20 Jun. 2024
GTR
Greenville Triumph
2 - 0
Charlotte Independence
CHA
36%
27%
37%
57 59 2 +1
02 Jun. 2024
GTR
Greenville Triumph
1 - 3
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
59%
23%
18%
58 49 9 -1

Matches

Richmond Kickers
Richmond Kickers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2024
NCO
Northern Colorado
3 - 1
Richmond Kickers
RIC
66%
20%
14%
48 64 16 0
28 Jul. 2024
LSC
Lexington
2 - 1
Richmond Kickers
RIC
24%
23%
53%
49 33 16 -1
14 Jul. 2024
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 - 1
Richmond Kickers
RIC
55%
22%
23%
50 51 1 -1
04 Jul. 2024
RIC
Richmond Kickers
2 - 1
Forward Madison
FMA
33%
27%
40%
49 55 6 +1
23 Jun. 2024
RIC
Richmond Kickers
0 - 2
Northern Colorado
NCO
29%
27%
44%
49 64 15 0