Challenge Cup 1/16

Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis

Greenock Morton Dumbarton
57 ELO 49
-1.5% Tilt 12.1%
1706º General ELO ranking 3800º
20º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
57%
Greenock Morton
22.3%
Draw
20.8%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
Greenock Morton
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

Greenock Morton
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2015
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 3
Rotherham United
ROT
38%
26%
36%
58 61 3 0
02 May. 2015
GRE
Greenock Morton
3 - 1
Peterhead
PET
53%
25%
22%
57 53 4 +1
25 Apr. 2015
STR
Stranraer
0 - 2
Greenock Morton
GRE
52%
23%
25%
56 58 2 +1
18 Apr. 2015
STI
Stirling Albion
0 - 2
Greenock Morton
GRE
21%
23%
56%
56 39 17 0
11 Apr. 2015
GRE
Greenock Morton
3 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
64%
21%
15%
55 45 10 +1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2015
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
18%
22%
61%
48 69 21 0
02 May. 2015
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
51%
24%
25%
48 51 3 0
25 Apr. 2015
QOS
Queen of the South
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
69%
19%
12%
48 62 14 0
18 Apr. 2015
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 3
Rangers
GLA
18%
24%
58%
48 68 20 0
11 Apr. 2015
ALL
Alloa Athletic
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
35%
25%
40%
50 47 3 -2