Greenock Morton vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 0
GRE
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
STM
26%
24%
49%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
BLA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
STJ
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 3
ALL
42%
22%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 0
EAS
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 2
ALL
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |