Grays Athletic vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
STE
1 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
STA
0 - 6
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
TAM
4 - 2
GRA
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ALT
1 - 1
CRA
37%
28%
36%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
YOR
1 - 0
ALT
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ALT
2 - 1
SOU
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
OXF
1 - 1
ALT
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
ALT
0 - 2
MOR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |