Granville vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
16º
13º
15
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
16 | 67 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 59 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 49 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 47 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 46 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 46 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 40 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 35 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 18 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
CHA
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 0
GRA
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 3
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 1
LES
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVR
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AVR
1 - 3
NIO
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
AVR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 3
ASN
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |