Grand-Saconnex vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
13º
11º
26
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand-Saconnex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
GRA
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 2
ECH
15%
19%
67%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +4 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SER
5 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 2
NAT
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MEY
5 - 1
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 3
SEC
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
TER
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
4 - 0
MAR
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
LAC
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |