Grand Rapids vs Flint City Bucks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
GRF
1 - 0
MSF
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
IND
0 - 4
GRF
6%
12%
82%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
DET
1 - 1
GRF
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -3 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
0 - 2
AAA
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
1 - 0
KAL
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flint City Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
REA
0 - 1
MIC
27%
23%
51%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
MIC
1 - 0
GSF
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
KCF
2 - 4
MIC
13%
17%
70%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DES
3 - 3
MIC
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MIC
1 - 0
DAY
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |