National 3 Normandie round 14

Grand-Quevilly vs Gonfreville analysis

Grand-Quevilly Gonfreville
17 ELO 20
3.6% Tilt -2.9%
13775º General ELO ranking 27250º
433º Country ELO ranking 740º
ELO win probability
46.4%
Grand-Quevilly
21.9%
Draw
31.7%
Gonfreville

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
Grand-Quevilly
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.7%
Win probability
Gonfreville
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Grand-Quevilly
Their league position
Gonfreville
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
13º
13º
31
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AF Virois
59
59
100%
Dieppe
42
42
100%
Cherbourg
41
41
100%
AG Caennaise
40
40
0%
Le Havre II
40
40
34%
Alençon
39
39
66%
QRM II
38
39
66%
Oissel
37
37
100%
Saint-Lô Manche
36
36
100%
Dives
10º
33
34
10º
100%
Avranches II
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Gonfreville
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Grand-Quevilly
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Mont-Gaillard
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grand-Quevilly
Gonfreville
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Grand-Quevilly
Gonfreville
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grand-Quevilly
Grand-Quevilly
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
GRQ
Grand-Quevilly
2 - 1
Avranches II
AVR
38%
22%
40%
17 21 4 0
21 Jan. 2023
ALE
Alençon
3 - 2
Grand-Quevilly
GRQ
78%
14%
8%
17 30 13 0
14 Jan. 2023
GRQ
Grand-Quevilly
1 - 4
AG Caennaise
AGC
23%
21%
57%
18 28 10 -1
10 Dec. 2022
GRQ
Grand-Quevilly
0 - 1
Saint-Lô Manche
SAI
33%
21%
46%
19 23 4 -1
03 Dec. 2022
LEH
Le Havre II
0 - 1
Grand-Quevilly
GRQ
79%
13%
8%
18 30 12 +1

Matches

Gonfreville
Gonfreville
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
GON
Gonfreville
0 - 2
Le Havre II
LEH
29%
24%
47%
21 29 8 0
14 Jan. 2023
QUE
QRM II
2 - 1
Gonfreville
GON
59%
21%
21%
21 23 2 0
10 Dec. 2022
GON
Gonfreville
0 - 2
Mont-Gaillard
MGA
71%
16%
13%
22 16 6 -1
03 Dec. 2022
AFV
AF Virois
3 - 0
Gonfreville
GON
72%
16%
12%
23 32 9 -1
26 Nov. 2022
GON
Gonfreville
2 - 0
Dieppe
DIE
40%
24%
36%
21 25 4 +2