NCAA Division I Western Athletic round 5

Grand Canyon vs UT Rio Grande Valley analysis

Grand Canyon UT Rio Grande Valley
36 ELO 29
-0.8% Tilt 0.3%
44726º General ELO ranking 44723º
713º Country ELO ranking 710º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Grand Canyon
19.7%
Draw
20.8%
UT Rio Grande Valley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
Grand Canyon
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.8%
Win probability
UT Rio Grande Valley
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grand Canyon
+15%
-12%
UT Rio Grande Valley

ELO progression

Grand Canyon
UT Rio Grande Valley
Utah Valley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2021
GCU
Grand Canyon
6 - 0
UIW Cardinals
UIW
85%
10%
5%
35 15 20 0
03 Oct. 2021
CST
Chicago State
1 - 3
Grand Canyon
GCU
7%
13%
80%
34 10 24 +1
01 Oct. 2021
HBH
Houston Baptist
1 - 3
Grand Canyon
GCU
5%
12%
83%
34 7 27 0
25 Sep. 2021
GCU
Grand Canyon
1 - 0
Seattle U
SUR
54%
21%
25%
33 31 2 +1
02 May. 2021
WAH
Washington Huskies
2 - 0
Grand Canyon
GCU
42%
22%
36%
35 34 1 -2

Matches

UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2021
AFF
Air Force
2 - 1
UT Rio Grande Valley
RGV
47%
22%
31%
32 31 1 0
03 Oct. 2021
RGV
UT Rio Grande Valley
2 - 1
California Baptist
CBL
60%
20%
21%
31 26 5 +1
25 Sep. 2021
CST
Chicago State
0 - 2
UT Rio Grande Valley
RGV
8%
15%
77%
31 11 20 0
15 Apr. 2021
RGV
UT Rio Grande Valley
0 - 1
Air Force
AFF
58%
20%
22%
31 27 4 0
10 Apr. 2021
UIW
UIW Cardinals
0 - 1
UT Rio Grande Valley
RGV
12%
17%
72%
31 15 16 0