Granada vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
GRA
7 - 1
IME
71%
15%
14%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 3
ZAR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
RMC
6 - 0
DBN
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
RMC
1 - 0
VAD
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
RMC
3 - 2
CAD
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 1
RMC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RMC
4 - 0
BAS
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |