Gragnano vs As Sersale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAV
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
USC
0 - 0
GRA
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
NFR
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 0
DTO
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
POM
2 - 2
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TUR
4 - 1
ASS
83%
11%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 3
REN
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |