De Graafschap vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
HFC
2 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
AZA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
EIN
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 2
RJC
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
RJC
2 - 0
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
PSV
1 - 0
AMS
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
FEY
3 - 2
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
PSV
2 - 0
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |