De Graafschap vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
AZA
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
FEY
34%
25%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
VIT
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
RJC
1 - 1
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NEC
3 - 2
GRO
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |