De Graafschap vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VOL
3 - 1
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 2
UTR
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PSV
3 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRO
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
UTR
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VOL
2 - 4
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |