De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ACH
0 - 0
GRA
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 4
HEL
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
JON
4 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 3
FCD
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
RKC
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
VVV
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
FCE
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
3 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |