De Graafschap vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 3
PSV
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
FCD
0 - 1
GRA
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
4 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
0 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 5
TWE
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
TWE
2 - 1
VIT
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |