Goytre United vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
GOY
2 - 1
SUF
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
4 - 2
GOY
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
GOY
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
GOY
4 - 0
CAE
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
GOY
5 - 2
TAF
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 1
CAE
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
4 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAE
31%
25%
45%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |