Gouveia vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EIR
0 - 2
GOU
13%
17%
71%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GOU
2 - 1
BRA
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
5 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
GOU
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GOU
1 - 0
ATL
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ANA
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 3
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
LUS
26%
27%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 2
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |