El Gouna FC vs National Bank of Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
17º
16º
11
7º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 35 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 31 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 30 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 27 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 25 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 20 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 19 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 19 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 19 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
6 | 17 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 16 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 15 |
18º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
94% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Gouna FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 0
GOU
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
GOU
2 - 0
ALQ
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
GOU
0 - 1
ASY
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
GOU
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GOU
1 - 0
ENP
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
National Bank of Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NBE
1 - 0
ISM
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
NBE
1 - 0
ASY
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
GHA
0 - 1
NBE
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
NBE
1 - 2
CCF
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CCF
0 - 1
NBE
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |