NCAA Division I West Coast round 6

Gonzaga vs San Diego analysis

Gonzaga San Diego
11 ELO 23
-1.8% Tilt -2.3%
47683º General ELO ranking 47686º
845º Country ELO ranking 848º
ELO win probability
11.1%
Gonzaga
16.3%
Draw
72.6%
San Diego

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
Gonzaga
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72.6%
Win probability
San Diego
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gonzaga
-31%
-27%
San Diego

ELO progression

Gonzaga
San Diego
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gonzaga
Gonzaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2021
SCB
Santa Clara
2 - 0
Gonzaga
GBD
85%
10%
5%
12 22 10 0
21 Mar. 2021
GBD
Gonzaga
1 - 2
Portland
PPT
14%
18%
68%
12 21 9 0
14 Mar. 2021
SMG
Saint Mary's
2 - 0
Gonzaga
GBD
84%
10%
5%
12 23 11 0
07 Mar. 2021
LML
Loyola Marymount
2 - 1
Gonzaga
GBD
87%
9%
4%
12 27 15 0
28 Feb. 2021
GBD
Gonzaga
0 - 1
San Francisco Dons
SFD
13%
17%
71%
13 23 10 -1

Matches

San Diego
San Diego
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2021
SDT
San Diego
1 - 1
Portland
PPT
53%
21%
26%
22 21 1 0
21 Mar. 2021
LML
Loyola Marymount
1 - 0
San Diego
SDT
62%
19%
19%
23 27 4 -1
14 Mar. 2021
SFD
San Francisco Dons
2 - 3
San Diego
SDT
59%
20%
21%
22 25 3 +1
07 Mar. 2021
SDT
San Diego
0 - 0
Saint Mary's
SMG
45%
22%
33%
21 23 2 +1
28 Feb. 2021
PTG
Pacific
1 - 2
San Diego
SDT
44%
22%
34%
21 19 2 0