Gonsenheim vs TuS Koblenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
8º
2º
18
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
24% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gonsenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 3
GON
12%
17%
71%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GON
0 - 0
IDA
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
EPP
1 - 8
GON
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 3
GON
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GON
6 - 1
EIS
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Koblenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAR
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
TUS
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VHE
1 - 2
TUS
14%
17%
69%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 0
DIE
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 2
TUS
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |