Gonfreville vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
77.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
12º
12º
59
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gonfreville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 0
GON
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GON
2 - 4
ALE
23%
23%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GON
2 - 1
AVR
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 0
GON
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GON
1 - 3
AGC
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AFV
3 - 2
CHE
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 2
AFV
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFV
5 - 2
GRQ
85%
10%
4%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 3
AFV
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AFV
0 - 0
LEH
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |