Gondomar vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
13º
11º
9
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68.5% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CIN
0 - 0
GON
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 0
GON
35%
25%
39%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GON
0 - 1
ADM
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
GON
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GON
1 - 0
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALP
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CIN
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
COI
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAM
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |