Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 Manutençao Série Norte round 3

Gondomar U19 vs Tondela U19 analysis

Gondomar U19 Tondela U19
32 ELO 28
2.8% Tilt 5.6%
9076º General ELO ranking 7116º
205º Country ELO ranking 137º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Gondomar U19
18.3%
Draw
18.8%
Tondela U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
Gondomar U19
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
18.8%
Win probability
Tondela U19
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gondomar U19
-17%
+50%
Tondela U19

Points and table prediction

Gondomar U19
Their league position
Tondela U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória Guimarães U19
30
30
100%
Paços de Ferreira U19
25
25
0%
Gil Vicente U19
25
25
0%
Rio Ave U19
25
25
100%
 Boavista U19
23
23
100%
 Anadia U19
13
13
100%
Gondomar U19
8
8
100%
Tondela U19
7
7
100%
Expected probabilities
Gondomar U19
Tondela U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Gondomar U19
Tondela U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gondomar U19
Gondomar U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2023
BOA
 Boavista U19
2 - 1
Gondomar U19
GON
65%
19%
15%
33 42 9 0
11 Feb. 2023
GON
Gondomar U19
2 - 2
Paços de Ferreira U19
PAÇ
41%
22%
37%
33 37 4 0
28 Jan. 2023
BRG
Braga U19
0 - 1
Gondomar U19
GON
70%
18%
12%
32 43 11 +1
21 Jan. 2023
GON
Gondomar U19
1 - 1
 Anadia U19
ANA
77%
13%
9%
32 21 11 0
15 Jan. 2023
OPO
Porto U19
4 - 1
Gondomar U19
GON
82%
12%
6%
33 49 16 -1

Matches

Tondela U19
Tondela U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2023
TON
Tondela U19
2 - 1
Gil Vicente U19
GFC
24%
22%
54%
26 35 9 0
11 Feb. 2023
GUI
Vitória Guimarães U19
4 - 0
Tondela U19
TON
76%
14%
10%
27 38 11 -1
28 Jan. 2023
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira U19
3 - 3
Tondela U19
TON
74%
15%
11%
27 37 10 0
21 Jan. 2023
TON
Tondela U19
0 - 1
Rio Ave U19
RIO
33%
23%
44%
28 32 4 -1
14 Jan. 2023
FAM
Famalicão U19
2 - 0
Tondela U19
TON
71%
18%
11%
28 43 15 0