Golling vs Adnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
15º
14º
8
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PUC
1 - 0
GOL
8%
13%
78%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 2
GOL
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 4
SAL
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 2
GRO
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
GOL
17%
18%
65%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Adnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 6
UNI
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PUC
1 - 2
SKA
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
4 - 0
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
USC
1 - 1
SKA
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SKA
5 - 0
SVS
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |