Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-4
Goiás EC vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GOI
0 - 3
NAU
64%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 3
ATP
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 1
FFL
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
GOI
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
ARS
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SLO
2 - 4
ARS
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
SLO
0 - 3
ARS
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOB
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |