GOES vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GOE
1 - 2
QUI
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TIE
0 - 1
GOE
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GOE
0 - 1
JVC
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
OOS
4 - 0
GOE
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GOE
3 - 1
DON
48%
22%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 5
OJC
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BLA
0 - 0
OOS
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
DON
2 - 2
BLA
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BLA
3 - 5
VOL
29%
24%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
HSC
0 - 5
BLA
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |