Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
3º
1º
47
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ROF
0 - 4
GLE
7%
12%
80%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NWS
3 - 0
GLE
37%
23%
41%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
5 - 2
LAU
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 7
GLE
7%
12%
81%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
DEV
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +5 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 4
SOU
8%
12%
81%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
6 - 1
CZF
93%
6%
2%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 4
SOU
42%
21%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 2
SOU
7%
13%
80%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ROF
2 - 2
SOU
6%
11%
83%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |