Piast Gliwice vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TSP
1 - 0
PGL
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GDA
0 - 0
PGL
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
PGL
0 - 1
OWD
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
POL
1 - 0
PGL
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SLA
0 - 1
PGL
61%
25%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
POL
0 - 0
ARK
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
GÓR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LPO
2 - 0
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
POL
1 - 0
PGL
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
POL
0 - 0
JAG
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |