Jastrzębie vs Wisla Pulawy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
16º
16º
22
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 72 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 53 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 47 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 35 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 34 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 31 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 24 |
18º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
62% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
2 - 1
MGJ
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
1 - 0
SKO
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
2 - 4
TSP
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POD
1 - 1
MGJ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
MGJ
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Wisla Pulawy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 0
SKO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 1
POD
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PGM
2 - 1
WIS
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
3 - 2
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
5 - 1
ZAG
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |