Girona vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
18º
7º
23
8º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 91 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 84 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 83 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 67 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 64 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 57 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 51 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 50 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 50 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 48 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 36 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 36 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 35 |
18º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 35 |
19º
|
18.5% | |
|
19º
|
15 | 31 |
20º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
11.5% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 1
GIR
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GIR
3 - 0
VAD
70%
18%
13%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MLL
2 - 1
GIR
28%
27%
45%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
GIR
0 - 1
LIV
13%
17%
70%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GIR
0 - 3
RMA
14%
19%
67%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SEV
1 - 1
VCF
47%
26%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ALM
4 - 1
SEV
27%
24%
49%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RMA
4 - 2
SEV
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 0
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 3
SEV
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |