Gil Vicente U23 vs Rio Ave U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
9º
4º
8
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
0 - 0
GIL
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GIL
0 - 2
VIZ
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
GIL
6%
11%
83%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
GIL
3 - 1
ACV
91%
7%
2%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 3
FAM
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 2
VIZ
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ACV
3 - 1
RIO
11%
16%
73%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -3 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
LEX
2 - 0
RIO
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
2 - 1
RIO
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
TOR
88%
9%
3%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |